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2.6k comments
3.3k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

56%
45%
1%
1%
249 comments
354 forecasters

Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?

98%
98%
96%
94%
290 comments
1.1k forecasters

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

1%chance
10 comments
22 forecasters

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

50.7%chance
8 comments
16 forecasters

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

61%chance
51 comments
321 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

20%chance
4 comments
4 forecasters

Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader?

37.7%
35.7%
31.2%
23.2%
66 comments
217 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

54.7%
48%
40%
36%
17 comments
100 forecasters

On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory?

Kursk Oblast and in no other oblasts97%
Kursk Oblast and at least 1 other oblast1%
Not Kursk Oblast, but at least 1 other oblast0.2%
No Ukrainian-held Russian territory1%
7 comments
2 forecasters

How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League?

89.8
88.4
85.6
68.2